Portfolio
Hong Kong's ties with the EU will face growing scrutiny
Closer examination of China-linked trade and investment will raise costs, but commercial ties will endure.
Japan’s corporate strength will offset slowing consumption
Corporate investment and exports will sustain growth amid tepid household demand
Hong Kong’s distinct strengths will shape its regional role
The five-year plan deepens integration with China while drawing on local institutional advantages.
Security-law convictions will have limited business impact
Hong Kong will preserve efficient policymaking and an open commercial environment, despite weaker political scrutiny.
Pacific Islands will unite on climate but hedge on security
The PIF’s non-unanimous missile-test response shows that divergent interests will undermine geopolitical unity.
AI-related trade will sustain growth as consumption eases
Growth in Hong Kong slowed from an exceptionally strong first quarter, but trade-linked services will support expansion.
Complementary strengths will sustain Asia’s wealth hubs
Hong Kong and Singapore will serve different functions within increasingly diversified family-office structures.
ASEAN Q3 outlook: trade resilience faces tariff risks
AI-led trade will support growth in ASEAN, but US tariff risks are rising.
Mainland capital inflows to Hong Kong will be formalised
Tighter controls will formalise mainland capital flows but weigh on property prices and consumption
Laos's energy diversification drive gathers pace
The government is reducing fuel-import dependence through renewables, EVs and regional power integration
Bank of Japan flags more rate increases ahead
The latest rate rise supports our policy normalisation forecast, but the tapering of JGB purchases will remain cautious
The Iran war will undermine Laos’s fragile recovery
Conflict-driven fuel and currency shocks will revive inflation, fiscal pressures and sovereign-risk concerns in Laos
Wealth effects will support consumption-driven growth
Strong growth reinforces Hong Kong’s role as a financial hub, but structural shifts will shape consumption patterns.
BOJ holds rate steady but tightening will continue
We expect the central bank to sanction a 25‑basis-point rate increase in its next meeting in June
Hong Kong to grow unevenly as divergence deepens
Economic growth increasingly benefits sectors that are able to draw on growing integration with the mainland
Japan’s bond volatility will constrain policy normalisation
The BOJ will face growing pressure from the competing demands of sticky inflation and debt-sustainability concerns
National congress signals policy continuity in Laos
Leadership continuity will maintain policy stability, but ambitious growth targets are unlikely to be met
Landmark conviction steers Hong Kong’s political trajectory
The verdict on Jimmy Lai reinforces a tighter political environment, while the business environment remains strong
Hong Kong fire renews questions over public accountability
The Tai Po fire exposes shrinking space for grass-roots mobilisation and renews debate over public accountability
Hong Kong Legco election signals deeper executive dominance
The election solidifies executive control, but low turn-out and arrests underscore public disengagement